==> probability/killers.and.pacifists.s <== Regardless of whether you are a pacifist or a killer, you may disregard all events in which a pacifist other than yourself is involved and consider only events in which you are killed or a pair of killers other than yourself is killed. Thus we may assume that there are N killers and yourself. If N is odd, your odds of surviving are zero. If N is even, it doesn't matter to you whether you are a killer or not. So WLOG assume you are. Then your probability of survival is 1/(N+1).